Skip to content

Weeks-unemployed eligibility constraint makes its battery incidence band infeasible (max ratio 0.31 vs floor 0.8) #782

Description

@MaxGhenis

Defect

The weeks-unemployed transfer's eligibility constraint makes its by-origin battery incidence band mathematically unpassable. The 25% candidate post-transfer receipt records:

  • ASEC reference positive share: 0.0330323
  • raw ACS share before calibration: 0.0060545
  • ACS share after calibration: 0.0103014, with capacity_limited=true

The spec allows positive weeks only where unemployment compensation is positive; that eligible ACS share is 0.0103014, so the maximum achievable incidence ratio is 0.0103014/0.0330323 = 0.312, far below the battery floor of 0.8. Calibration executed correctly and reached its declared capacity; the gate/spec pair is infeasible by construction. (The residual 1% variant without this constraint reached a ratio near 1.0007.)

Fix direction (owner adjudication)

Reconcile the constraint with the band: widen the eligibility rule, re-scope the comparison to the eligible subpopulation, or mark the leg diagnostic under the constraint. Adjudicated spec change with receipts, not a band tweak.

Metadata

Metadata

Assignees

No one assigned

    Labels

    No labels
    No labels

    Type

    No type

    Projects

    No projects

    Milestone

    No milestone

    Relationships

    None yet

    Development

    No branches or pull requests

    Issue actions