feat(staging): validation cycle — env, smoke, live LLM, fixture fix

[Aparnap2]

Staging validation on boring stack (API + PG). Deterministic smoke green (201/200/403/200/422); live Groq eval 5/14 with harness-artifact failures recorded unweakened; tenant fixture alembic-first fix; proposal rebuild seam + healthcheck fix; STAGING_VALIDATION.md with blockers. Production claim stays NOT READY. Evidence: docs/release/STAGING_VALIDATION.md.

[coderabbitai]

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[Aparnap2]

STAGING REVIEW: ACCEPT pending human merge.

• Deterministic staging smoke is green.
• Fresh-DB migration/seed ordering is fixed and tenant isolation verified.
• Live Groq result 5/14 is recorded without weakening thresholds; failures are split into harness/contract issues plus one real calibration miss.
• Exact 6-file scope; no frozen P6/P7/P8 contract changes.

Next after merge: use F2 fake/replay cases to fix the harness and refusal mapping first; then rerun the 14 live cases. Do not burn credits on broad scenario expansion. Before production, replace env_file secrets, canonicalize approval stack, quarantine finance/llm, and complete real AWS E2E.