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docs: phase 14 plan — evasion by register (planned, not started) - #21

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carbon-evolution merged 2 commits into
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Aug 2, 2026
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carbon-evolution merged 2 commits into
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Doc-only. Saves the phase 14 plan into the repo so the work can be picked up in a later session.

Records two spikes, both null results, which is why the plan is aimed where it is:

  1. CTF-framing hypothesis — REJECTED. Matched pairs (technique clause held identical, only the wrapper varied): mean drop 0.052, 0/5 crossed the shipped 0.8 threshold. The classifier keys on what the text describes, not its presentation.

  2. Layer-complement hypothesis — inconclusive, and the test was flawed. The deterministic LLM05 detector fired on 0/4 of moderation's misses and 0/25 of the harmful corpus — but a control check shows it is not inert (the same sentence plus a defanged curl … | sh blocks at Critical). The phase-13 corpus was authored non-operational, so it contains none of the artifacts the detector matches. The 0/4 is a property of the corpus, not evidence about production.

What that narrowed down: the layers are complementary when a reply carries an executable artifact. The unmitigated gap is harmful operational prose with no artifact — where moderation is the only layer and is weakest. The worst case (USB malware / hospital network) scores 0.467, below both the shipped 0.8 and the sensitive 0.5, so no threshold setting catches it.

Design consequence: the corpus gains an artifact axis (plain / technical_prose / technical_artifact / diluted) using defanged artifacts — real command shapes pointing at 192.0.2.1, functional as patterns but not as attacks. Deliverable is a per-layer coverage table, not one blended number.

No code changes; nothing to verify beyond CI.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

carbon-evolution and others added 2 commits August 2, 2026 18:33
Records a spike that REJECTED the CTF-framing hypothesis (mean drop 0.052 over
five matched pairs, 0/5 crossed the shipped 0.8 threshold) and redirects the
phase at the larger effect visible in phase 13's data: content register. The
USB-malware example scores 0.467 with no framing trick at all, and 3 of the 4
sub-threshold misses are cyber-technical.

Planned, not started.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Deterministic LLM05 detector fired on 0/4 of moderation's misses, and 0/25 of
the harmful corpus. A control check shows it is not inert: the same sentence
plus a defanged shell artifact blocks at Critical. The corpus was authored
non-operational, so it contains none of the artifacts the detector matches --
the 0/4 is a property of the corpus, not evidence about production.

Narrows the real gap: the layers ARE complementary when a reply carries an
executable artifact; the unmitigated hole is harmful operational PROSE with no
artifact, where moderation is the only layer and is weakest. The worst case
(USB malware, hospital network) scores 0.467 -- below both the shipped 0.8 and
the sensitive 0.5, so no threshold setting catches it.

Adds an artifact axis to the corpus design, which is the variable that actually
moves the deterministic layer.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@carbon-evolution
carbon-evolution merged commit af447fd into main Aug 2, 2026
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@carbon-evolution
carbon-evolution deleted the docs/phase-14-plan branch August 2, 2026 11:16
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